← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.14+2.66vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.28+1.36vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.93+3.54vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.89+0.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.72-0.27vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii1.74-1.34vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine0.08+1.55vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California0.28+0.21vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-0.24vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-1.21+1.77vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-0.17-1.52vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands-1.21-0.23vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.08vs Predicted
-
14University of Victoria-1.69-1.60vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego0.43-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.66University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
-
3.36University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
6.54University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
4.29University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
-
4.73University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
4.66University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
8.55University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
8.21University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
-
8.76University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
11.77California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
9.48Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
11.77California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
10.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.68University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pacholski | 19.2% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 23.4% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 12.7% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 25.3% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Lena Captain | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 25.3% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 21.7% | 47.6% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.