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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+5.53vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.72+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.89-1.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+3.65vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.21+3.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-0.22vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.69+2.52vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.17-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.08-3.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.43-5.20vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.21-2.44vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.28-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.56California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.56Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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11.56California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 22.0% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 20.4% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 14.8% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 25.4% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 21.5% | 49.3% | 0.0% |
| Lena Captain | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 25.4% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.