← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.14+2.70vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.72+2.48vs Predicted
-
3California State University Channel Islands-1.21+8.58vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.89+0.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.28-1.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.93+0.73vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.74-2.59vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.17+1.30vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-0.26vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.94vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands-1.21+0.58vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego0.43-4.03vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine0.08-4.22vs Predicted
-
14University of Victoria-1.69-1.62vs Predicted
-
15University of Southern California0.28-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.7University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
-
4.48University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
11.58California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
4.29University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
-
3.55University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
6.73University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
4.41University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
9.3Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
8.74University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
10.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
11.58California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
7.97University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
8.78University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
12.38University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.14University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pacholski | 19.5% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 26.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 19.2% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lena Captain | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 26.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 19.5% | 47.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.