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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.14+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.36+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.93+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.43+2.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+1.48vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.21+3.60vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.21+2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.69+2.53vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.17-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.28-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.08-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.74-9.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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4.72University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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6.75University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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11.6California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.6California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.52Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pacholski | 16.5% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 24.1% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 19.3% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 24.9% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 24.9% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 22.6% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
| Lena Captain | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.