← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.36+2.35vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.28+1.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.93+3.61vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.14-0.14vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.74-0.22vs Predicted
-
6California State University Channel Islands-1.21+5.79vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-0.17+2.23vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.43-0.16vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California0.28-0.60vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.98vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California1.72-6.17vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine0.08-3.12vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-1.21-1.21vs Predicted
-
14University of Victoria-1.69-1.57vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
-
3.46University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
6.61University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
3.86University of Hawaii2.140.2%1st Place
-
4.78University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
11.79California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
9.23Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
-
7.84University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
8.4University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
-
10.98University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
4.83University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
8.88University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
11.79California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
12.43University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.56University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 21.4% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 21.7% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 15.2% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 24.8% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Lena Captain | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 22.8% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 11.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 24.8% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 21.0% | 47.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.