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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.36+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+3.63vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+1.47vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.21+3.63vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.28-0.61vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.17-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.43-2.96vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.06vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.21-1.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.08-5.19vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-1.69-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Hawaii2.360.2%1st Place
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4.56University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.9University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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11.63California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Southern California0.280.0%1st Place
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9.56Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.63California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 22.3% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 11.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 19.3% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 13.9% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 26.1% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lena Captain | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 26.1% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Craig | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 20.9% | 47.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.