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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+4.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85+5.33vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.52+5.92vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.46vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.00+12.94vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.03vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.76+0.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.34+1.35vs Predicted
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9Washington College4.25+0.86vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.74+2.34vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.64+1.75vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.33-2.13vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.92-1.15vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.47-0.63vs Predicted
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15University of Washington2.87+0.53vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College4.15-5.61vs Predicted
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17Brown University4.28-7.33vs Predicted
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18University of Miami3.99-6.75vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont4.60-10.68vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin4.10-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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17.94Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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9.86Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
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12.34University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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12.75Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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13.37Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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15.53University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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10.39SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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9.67Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 56.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Juan Maegli | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Vann | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Blouin | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Britton Steele | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Peter Stemler | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 6.2% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 23.2% | 20.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Clinton Hayes | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.