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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+7.25vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+4.59vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+5.60vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University5.19+1.55vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+1.82vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.78+1.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+6.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.65vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.34-0.17vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49+2.66vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.07vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76-0.27vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.99-2.12vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.65-2.02vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston3.21-1.30vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.17vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.56-4.80vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.63-5.79vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College4.15-9.31vs Predicted
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20Queen's University0.79-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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5.55Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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6.82St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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13.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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8.83College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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12.66University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.73Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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11.98Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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13.7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.210.0%1st Place
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10.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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12.2Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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9.69SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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19.27Queen's University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 3.1% |
| Robert Vann | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Jasmine Baloch | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Halsey Richartz | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 1.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Graham Hutchings | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.