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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+5.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+7.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+6.83vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+4.49vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.49+4.03vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+4.32vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32+3.87vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.40+0.08vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-2.80vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.20+0.01vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.28-1.94vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.73-4.22vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.69vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.40-5.15vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-6.49vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.60-7.83vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.22-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Harvard University3.1811.6%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.8%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University3.3012.4%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island2.783.4%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College2.385.4%1st Place
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10.03College of Charleston2.494.6%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College2.383.5%1st Place
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11.87University of Miami2.322.8%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University2.406.6%1st Place
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7.2Yale University2.738.8%1st Place
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11.01Boston College2.203.1%1st Place
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10.06Tulane University2.284.5%1st Place
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8.78Brown University2.736.5%1st Place
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10.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.0%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.403.9%1st Place
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9.51Cornell University2.384.6%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy2.605.1%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University2.224.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| William Michels | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 12.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| Bridget Green | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.