← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.33+3.11vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+4.24vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University-1.82+16.14vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.64vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+0.95vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-2.61vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara0.83+1.80vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine1.06+0.19vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.30vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+2.55vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.39+0.02vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+3.62vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego0.43-2.33vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-1.54vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89+1.22vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.54-1.41vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-0.19-3.78vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.70vs Predicted
-
19San Diego State University-0.00-6.83vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-0.62-5.18vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Irvine-1.55-2.80vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Davis-1.64-3.36vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Santa Barbara-2.26-2.67vs Predicted
-
24Arizona State University-1.82-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
-
6.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
19.14Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
-
5.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.39California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
-
8.8University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
-
8.19University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
-
6.7University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
12.55University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
-
11.02University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
15.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
10.67University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.46University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
-
16.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
-
14.59University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
-
13.22University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
-
16.3University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
12.17San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
14.82University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
-
18.2University of California at Irvine-1.550.0%1st Place
-
18.64University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
-
20.33University of California at Santa Barbara-2.260.0%1st Place
-
19.14Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 16.5% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 24.0% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Erb | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Scoffone | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.