← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+5.16vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.43+4.75vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+2.89vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.33+0.02vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.61vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University-1.82+12.77vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine1.06+0.78vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.83+0.96vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+3.45vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.39+0.57vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.43-0.32vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+3.93vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-0.19+0.13vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+1.15vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.64+3.56vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-0.00-3.75vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-4.26vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Barbara-2.26+2.27vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-1.40-1.66vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-4.26vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-0.62-6.33vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Irvine-1.55-3.89vs Predicted
-
23Arizona State University-1.82-4.23vs Predicted
-
24California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-20.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
6.75University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
5.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
-
4.02University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
-
6.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
-
18.77Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
-
7.78University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
-
8.96University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
-
12.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.57University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
10.68University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
15.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
13.13University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
-
15.15University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
18.56University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
-
12.25San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
12.74University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
-
20.27University of California at Santa Barbara-2.260.0%1st Place
-
17.34University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
-
15.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
-
14.67University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
-
18.11University of California at Irvine-1.550.0%1st Place
-
18.77Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
-
3.48California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 17.7% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Scoffone | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Erb | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 24.1% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.