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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+3.10vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-1.82+17.03vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.67vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.83+2.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39+3.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+4.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.34vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-6.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+4.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.19+0.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.64+5.45vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.00-2.10vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89+1.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.40+1.53vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-4.36vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara-2.26+2.25vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.35vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.62-5.31vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.55-2.99vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.82-2.97vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine1.06-14.82vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego0.43-13.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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19.03Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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6.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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10.4University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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12.59University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.4California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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15.66University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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18.45University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.9San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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16.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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17.53University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
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12.64University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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20.25University of California at Santa Barbara-2.260.0%1st Place
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15.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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14.69University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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18.01University of California at Irvine-1.550.0%1st Place
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19.03Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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10.5University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 18.1% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 24.3% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Scoffone | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Erb | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.