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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+4.93vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.06+6.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.83+6.01vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.07vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.62+8.80vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-3.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.39+2.90vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.82+10.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.43+0.52vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.00+1.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.19+1.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.43-6.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.55+4.00vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89+1.20vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.64+2.55vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-0.73vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-5.08vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara-2.26+1.04vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.54-5.42vs Predicted
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21California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-17.62vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-6.26vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.06-10.28vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.82-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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6.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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6.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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14.8University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.91University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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10.9University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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19.15Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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10.52University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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12.66San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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18.0University of California at Irvine-1.550.0%1st Place
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16.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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18.55University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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16.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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20.04University of California at Santa Barbara-2.260.0%1st Place
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14.58University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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3.38California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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15.74University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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19.15Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finestone | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 18.4% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Erb | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Scoffone | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 37.9% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 24.9% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.