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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+5.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+4.02vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.78vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+0.03vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-1.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+6.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+9.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.06+0.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.43+1.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.43-3.90vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.00+0.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+2.93vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.09-1.46vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.82+4.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.19-2.73vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.39-6.00vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.09-4.88vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.40-1.35vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.62-4.97vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.64-2.35vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-5.76vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.82-3.63vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Barbara-2.26-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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6.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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3.47California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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12.64University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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16.1University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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10.66University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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12.44San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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15.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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19.37Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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13.27University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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13.12University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.65University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
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15.03University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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18.65University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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16.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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19.37Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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20.45University of California at Santa Barbara-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 17.7% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 24.9% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Scoffone | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 37.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.