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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+4.00vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.31vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.71vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.82+14.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.09+6.73vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-3.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.09+4.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.43+1.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.39+0.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+5.53vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.06-3.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-3.87vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+1.54vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.43-8.02vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.64+2.61vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-0.77vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.40+0.09vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-0.00-6.76vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.06-7.23vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.62-6.07vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.19-8.52vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.82-3.77vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Barbara-2.26-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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6.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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6.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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19.23Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.97University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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12.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.69University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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10.76University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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16.53University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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15.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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18.61University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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16.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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18.09University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
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12.24San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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12.77University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.48University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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19.23Arizona State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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20.43University of California at Santa Barbara-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes McElvain | 22.7% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 19.0% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kinton | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Scoffone | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 39.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.