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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.34+7.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.89+3.72vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.78+3.07vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+7.56vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+2.55vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University5.19-1.34vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.80vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76+2.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.94vs Predicted
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11University of Miami3.99-0.42vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.19vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.49-4.35vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.63-1.98vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy4.34-6.07vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston3.21-2.24vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College4.15-7.37vs Predicted
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18Queen's University0.79+1.22vs Predicted
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19Washington College3.65-7.09vs Predicted
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20Tufts University3.56-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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12.56University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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5.66Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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10.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.41Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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8.65Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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12.02University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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13.76Texas A&M University at Galveston3.210.0%1st Place
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9.63SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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19.22Queen's University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.91Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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12.52Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 1.5% |
| David Thompson | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 11.7% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Gary Herring | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 3.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Robert Vann | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jasmine Baloch | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 4.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Graham Hutchings | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 5.5% | 83.9% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.