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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+6.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.42+7.97vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.52+5.27vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.62vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+1.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.80+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.09+3.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.69+4.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+1.82vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.11-0.52vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.75+4.93vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.01+1.67vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-3.00vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-4.81vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.91-1.74vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10-2.53vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.73-4.79vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.06-4.42vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.15-4.92vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.75-4.07vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-0.25-10.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Santa Barbara0.420.0%1st Place
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4.5California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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6.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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8.2University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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15.28University of California at Santa Barbara-0.690.0%1st Place
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13.82University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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12.48University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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18.93Arizona State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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16.67University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.19University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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16.26University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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16.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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15.21University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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16.58University of California at Irvine-1.060.0%1st Place
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17.08University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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18.93Arizona State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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13.11San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Lausten | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Martin | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 17.4% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 16.5% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Johnson | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Ayd | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Agustin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Ayd | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.