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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+6.53vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+2.72vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+4.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80+3.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.07vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.42+0.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.69+4.69vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.75+8.09vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+1.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-0.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.09-2.36vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.11-2.73vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10+0.31vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.01-0.88vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.15-1.24vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-7.51vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-0.91-4.42vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.77-2.24vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.65-3.46vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.25-10.23vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.75-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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4.5California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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8.04University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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9.07University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Santa Barbara0.420.0%1st Place
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14.69University of California at Santa Barbara-0.690.0%1st Place
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19.09Arizona State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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13.48University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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16.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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16.12University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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16.76University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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15.58University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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18.76University of California at Irvine-1.770.0%1st Place
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18.54University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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12.77San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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19.09Arizona State University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Lausten | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 17.3% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Martin | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Johnson | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Ayd | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ya | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Ayd | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.