← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.72+3.84vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+5.73vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+6.54vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine-1.06+12.75vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.74vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+2.46vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-2.63vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.19vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-0.25+4.07vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.80-1.78vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-1.15+6.42vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10+4.82vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.11-0.40vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-1.29vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.91+1.36vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-2.01vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-1.15+0.28vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.21-0.41vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-1.15-1.72vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Irvine0.08-8.72vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-9.00vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-0.73-6.77vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Santa Barbara-0.69-7.73vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Santa Barbara0.42-14.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.84University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
7.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
-
9.54University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
16.75University of California at Irvine-1.060.0%1st Place
-
6.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
8.46University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
-
4.37California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.2%1st Place
-
7.81University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
-
13.07San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
-
8.22University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
-
17.42University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
-
16.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
-
12.6University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
-
12.71University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
-
16.36University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
-
13.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
-
17.28Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
-
17.59University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
-
17.28Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
-
11.28University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
12.0University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
-
15.23University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
-
15.27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.690.0%1st Place
-
9.93University of California at Santa Barbara0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Agustin | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 19.1% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Johnson | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Martin | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.