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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.42+8.92vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.80+5.26vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+3.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+4.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.72+2.48vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-2.60vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.06+7.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+3.01vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.25+2.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.92-4.30vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.44+1.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.89vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.21+2.62vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.73-0.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.15+0.20vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine0.08-6.27vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10-2.40vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-0.91-3.86vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.15-3.95vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.04-9.69vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.15-5.95vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Barbara-0.69-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92University of California at Santa Barbara0.420.0%1st Place
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4.87University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.26University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Santa Barbara0.720.1%1st Place
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4.4California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.2%1st Place
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6.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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16.82University of California at Irvine-1.060.0%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.41San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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14.1University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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17.62University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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15.3University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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17.2University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.73University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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16.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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16.14University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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17.05Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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12.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.040.0%1st Place
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17.05Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Martin | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jawetz | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 19.0% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Agustin | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Arjun Boddu | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Johnson | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.