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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.46+3.39vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+2.48vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.75-0.69vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.69vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.24-0.30vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.26-1.27vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.96-0.08vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.54-1.83vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.81-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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4.48Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.31Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.31Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.7Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.73Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.92Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.17Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.0Western Washington University-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Van Dam | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 8.0% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Chloe Dawson | 38.2% | 25.0% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 19.0% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Carter Erickson | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Kendall Kracke | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Carter Dojan | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 32.4% | 21.3% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 22.8% | 10.8% |
| Richard Hill | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.