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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.31vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+1.53vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+1.35vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.96+2.82vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.26-0.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.46-1.61vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.24-2.21vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.81-0.02vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.54-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.53Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.35Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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6.82Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.65Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.39Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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4.79Western Washington University0.240.1%1st Place
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7.98Western Washington University-1.810.0%1st Place
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6.19Western Washington University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 38.7% | 25.3% | 17.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.8% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 28.0% | 21.3% |
| Kendall Kracke | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Max Van Dam | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Carter Erickson | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Richard Hill | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 59.5% |
| Benjamin Morasch | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 21.0% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.