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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+4.73vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+6.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.37+6.42vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+7.48vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.58+3.58vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.68+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+6.46vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.93+4.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.22vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.48-2.48vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.38-2.15vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.06-3.25vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.84-0.28vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.79-3.19vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.28-6.25vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.85-9.21vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.27-4.45vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.20-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Stanford University3.1512.4%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College2.345.7%1st Place
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9.42Brown University2.375.3%1st Place
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11.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.5%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.586.6%1st Place
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6.83Tulane University2.688.9%1st Place
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13.46University of Rhode Island1.421.8%1st Place
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12.21University of Miami1.932.2%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.0%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University2.487.0%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston2.385.5%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.065.9%1st Place
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12.72Roger Williams University1.841.9%1st Place
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10.81Cornell University1.793.9%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy2.286.3%1st Place
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6.79Yale University2.859.3%1st Place
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12.55Tufts University1.272.4%1st Place
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9.19Georgetown University2.205.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Peter Busch | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 24.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.