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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+5.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.90vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15+2.58vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.34+4.39vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+3.82vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.58+2.79vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48+0.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28+0.85vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.38+0.02vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.37-0.33vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.05vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.68-5.15vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.79-2.34vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-3.05vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.84-3.07vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.27-4.44vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.20-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Yale University2.859.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.6%1st Place
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5.58Stanford University3.1514.2%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College2.346.8%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.065.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston College2.585.5%1st Place
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7.69Harvard University2.487.3%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Naval Academy2.286.0%1st Place
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9.02College of Charleston2.385.9%1st Place
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9.67Brown University2.374.5%1st Place
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11.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.4%1st Place
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6.85Tulane University2.689.4%1st Place
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10.66Cornell University1.793.7%1st Place
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13.55University of Rhode Island1.421.8%1st Place
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11.95University of Miami1.933.1%1st Place
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12.93Roger Williams University1.841.8%1st Place
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12.56Tufts University1.271.9%1st Place
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9.01Georgetown University2.205.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Peter Busch | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Henry Lee | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 25.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 17.2% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.