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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.24+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+2.10vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.55vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.15+8.56vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.93vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.78+3.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.61+2.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.13+3.62vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.15+2.56vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.26+0.96vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.09+1.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.80-3.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.43-2.80vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.43-7.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.62+0.10vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.31-5.30vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59-2.19vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.82vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-0.30-5.72vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-0.19-6.83vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands0.15-9.44vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-0.09-9.52vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-2.50-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of Southern California2.240.2%1st Place
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4.1University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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6.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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12.56California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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6.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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9.74California Poly Maritime Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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12.56California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.6University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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11.2University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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16.1University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.7University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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15.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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17.18University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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14.28University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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14.17University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.56California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.48University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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20.63San Diego State University-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upamanyu Dutta | 16.3% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 20.6% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martinez-Prado | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hopkins | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 23.8% | 10.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Reed | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 68.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.