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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+6.89vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+5.64vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15+1.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.84+7.66vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48+1.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+4.27vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.37+1.38vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.85-2.13vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-0.92vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-0.47vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.68-5.12vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.51-0.20vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-1.66vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.38-6.32vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.06-7.16vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.42-3.43vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.34-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.4%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy2.284.5%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.585.8%1st Place
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5.65Stanford University3.1513.4%1st Place
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12.66Roger Williams University1.842.8%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University2.487.9%1st Place
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11.27St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.2%1st Place
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9.38Brown University2.374.8%1st Place
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6.87Yale University2.859.4%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University2.205.8%1st Place
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10.53Cornell University1.794.2%1st Place
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6.88Tulane University2.689.9%1st Place
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12.8Tufts University1.512.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Miami1.932.8%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston2.385.4%1st Place
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8.84Bowdoin College2.065.7%1st Place
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13.57University of Rhode Island1.421.4%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College2.344.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Peter Busch | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 17.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Henry Lee | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 25.1% |
| Chase Decker | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.