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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.80+8.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.43+9.61vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.24+0.45vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.09+8.12vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.45vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15+3.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.09+3.87vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.78-1.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.43-5.79vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.62+2.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.19-0.18vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.26-3.70vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59-0.67vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego0.31-5.99vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.30-4.25vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis0.13-6.84vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.30vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands0.15-9.05vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.00-9.49vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands0.15-11.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.95University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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11.61University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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4.24University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Southern California2.240.2%1st Place
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6.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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14.12University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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12.95California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.87University of California at Los Angeles-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.74California Poly Maritime Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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10.81University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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16.55University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.82University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
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16.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.01University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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14.75University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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17.7University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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12.95California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.51San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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12.95California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Barth | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 16.9% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ankit Rastogi | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martinez-Prado | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hopkins | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.