← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+5.50vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.33+2.08vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego0.43+8.71vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59+12.00vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands0.15+7.73vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.03vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.24-2.74vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.61+2.73vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands0.15+3.73vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.80-0.31vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.90vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis0.13+0.58vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.86vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-0.00-0.53vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.30+0.02vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+1.57vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-0.19-2.91vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley0.26-5.66vs Predicted
-
19California Poly Maritime Academy0.78-9.22vs Predicted
-
20California State University Channel Islands0.15-7.27vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-0.62-5.08vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego0.31-9.84vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Irvine-1.02-5.57vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Los Angeles1.43-17.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
-
11.71University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
16.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
-
12.73California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
7.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
-
4.26University of Southern California2.240.2%1st Place
-
10.73University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
12.73California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
9.69University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
-
9.1University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
12.58University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
13.86University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
13.47San Diego State University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
15.02University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
-
17.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
14.09University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
-
12.34University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
-
9.78California Poly Maritime Academy0.780.0%1st Place
-
12.73California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
15.92University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
-
12.16University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
17.43University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
6.93University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 20.4% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 18.6% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Rall | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 22.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hopkins | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martinez-Prado | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 26.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.