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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+3.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.02+4.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.42vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.34vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.85vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-2.54vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.22-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.11+2.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.39-0.84vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.21+4.88vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.21+3.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-0.91vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.64+3.54vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.91+0.14vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.54-2.36vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10-1.57vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.73-3.73vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-0.25-7.00vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.15-4.47vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.21-5.12vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-0.83-7.37vs Predicted
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23-1.32-6.67vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.77-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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7.42University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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6.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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6.26California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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11.46University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.16University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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15.88California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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15.88California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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17.54University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.14University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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13.64University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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15.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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14.27University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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12.0San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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15.53University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.88California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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14.63University of California at Berkeley-0.830.0%1st Place
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16.33-1.320.0%1st Place
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17.87University of California at Irvine-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paulsen | 15.5% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 17.6% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthieu Laurent | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Guy | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ya | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 25.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.