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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.52+6.84vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+1.75vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.02+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.28vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.22-1.01vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.21+8.07vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.64+8.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.11+1.29vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.98vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.39-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.15+2.78vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.21+2.07vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-2.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.91-0.83vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.54-3.82vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.73-3.73vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.77-1.08vs Predicted
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20-1.32-3.68vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-0.83-6.40vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10-6.56vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.25-11.05vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-1.21-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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16.07California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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17.53University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.29University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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9.35University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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15.78University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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16.07California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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15.17University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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13.18University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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14.27University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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17.92University of California at Irvine-1.770.0%1st Place
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16.32-1.320.0%1st Place
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14.6University of California at Berkeley-0.830.0%1st Place
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15.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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11.95San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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16.07California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 14.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ya | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 25.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Guy | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthieu Laurent | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.