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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+3.60vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.30vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.39+3.20vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-2.53vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.21+7.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.02-2.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.11+1.17vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.22-5.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.40+4.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-1.20vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.83+0.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.64+2.64vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.21-0.14vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.91-2.48vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.15-2.30vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10-3.66vs Predicted
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20-1.32-3.91vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-0.25-9.00vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.77-4.32vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-1.21-7.14vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-0.73-10.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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7.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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9.2University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
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15.86California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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11.17University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.86California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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16.58University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Berkeley-0.830.0%1st Place
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17.64University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.86California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
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15.7University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
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16.09-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.0San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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17.68University of California at Irvine-1.770.0%1st Place
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15.86California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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13.72University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 18.2% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthieu Laurent | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Guy | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ya | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 24.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.