← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.48+6.75vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.37+7.58vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.06+5.57vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.38+4.80vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.85+2.02vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.15-0.33vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University2.68-0.33vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.51+4.58vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+2.34vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.34-1.65vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.20-1.96vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.42+1.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami1.93-0.95vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.16vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.28-6.24vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University1.84-3.34vs Predicted
-
17Boston College2.58-8.12vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University1.96-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.75Harvard University2.487.8%1st Place
-
9.58Brown University2.375.1%1st Place
-
8.57Bowdoin College2.066.1%1st Place
-
8.8College of Charleston2.385.8%1st Place
-
7.02Yale University2.858.6%1st Place
-
5.67Stanford University3.1512.6%1st Place
-
6.67Tulane University2.689.8%1st Place
-
12.58Tufts University1.512.4%1st Place
-
11.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.0%1st Place
-
8.35Dartmouth College2.346.5%1st Place
-
9.04Georgetown University2.205.4%1st Place
-
13.52University of Rhode Island1.421.2%1st Place
-
12.05University of Miami1.932.9%1st Place
-
8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.3%1st Place
-
8.76U. S. Naval Academy2.286.9%1st Place
-
12.66Roger Williams University1.842.2%1st Place
-
8.88Boston College2.585.0%1st Place
-
10.92Cornell University1.963.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Chase Decker | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Henry Lee | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 24.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.2% |
| Peter Busch | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.