← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.72+3.61vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.72+2.57vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.39vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.11+7.35vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.75vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.15vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley-0.83+7.07vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands-1.21+7.85vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+2.86vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy1.22-3.99vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.08vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego0.39-2.82vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-1.21+2.85vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-1.21+1.85vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.64+2.38vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley1.02-9.00vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Irvine-1.77+1.07vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Irvine-1.32-1.91vs Predicted
-
19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.10-3.48vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-1.15-4.48vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis-0.91-6.50vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-1.40-5.35vs Predicted
-
23San Diego State University-0.25-11.20vs Predicted
-
24University of California at San Diego-0.73-10.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.61University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
-
4.57University of Southern California1.720.2%1st Place
-
6.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
11.35University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.75University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
-
7.15University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
-
14.07University of California at Berkeley-0.830.0%1st Place
-
15.85California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
11.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
-
6.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
-
6.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
-
9.18University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
15.85California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
15.85California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
17.38University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
-
7.0University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
-
18.07University of California at Irvine-1.770.0%1st Place
-
16.09University of California at Irvine-1.320.0%1st Place
-
15.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.100.0%1st Place
-
15.52University of California at Davis-1.150.0%1st Place
-
14.5University of California at Davis-0.910.0%1st Place
-
16.65University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
-
11.8San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
-
13.76University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 15.4% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 17.4% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthieu Laurent | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ya | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 24.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Guy | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lozovoy | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Picasso Vasquez | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burak Kocal | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.