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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont4.60+7.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85+5.34vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College4.15+7.51vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.33+5.63vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+6.37vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+1.52vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.00+11.19vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.76-0.45vs Predicted
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9Washington College4.25+0.90vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.28-0.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.99-0.59vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.64+0.07vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-5.14vs Predicted
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15Harvard University4.52-6.20vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin4.10-5.37vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.47-3.80vs Predicted
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18University of Washington2.87-2.27vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.74-6.79vs Predicted
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20Georgetown University5.19-13.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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10.51SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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11.37Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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18.19Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.55College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.9Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
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9.92Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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13.07Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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13.2Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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15.73University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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12.21University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton Hayes | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Barrows | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Michael Menninger | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 14.8% | 59.5% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Blouin | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Robert Vann | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Peter Stemler | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 22.9% | 18.7% |
| Britton Steele | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.