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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+4.43vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University-0.47+6.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.62+2.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.90+0.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.43+1.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.39-2.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.35+1.17vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University-0.15-0.47vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.93+0.59vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-1.64+2.12vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+1.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-1.04-1.44vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-1.73-0.67vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-2.02-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-1.28-3.92vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.39-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Roger Williams University0.9410.5%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University-0.473.7%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.6211.2%1st Place
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4.54Roger Williams University0.9014.5%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.438.1%1st Place
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3.53Roger Williams University1.3921.9%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.354.7%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University-0.155.4%1st Place
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9.59Salve Regina University-0.932.8%1st Place
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12.12Salve Regina University-1.641.1%1st Place
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12.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.621.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Vermont-1.041.9%1st Place
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12.33Unknown School-1.730.9%1st Place
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13.14Salve Regina University-2.020.9%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont-1.282.1%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University0.399.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden McCready | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Richard Pokorny | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominik Moncur | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Murphy | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 21.9% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Fuller | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.2% |
| Colin Shearley | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 16.7% |
| James Meyer | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 31.4% |
| Charlotte Green | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.