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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University1.19+7.59vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.82+4.77vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.44+2.08vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.91-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.40+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+4.45vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.38-2.93vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.74+1.00vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.82-3.10vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.89-1.42vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.36-3.73vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.08-6.99vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-1.63+0.75vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.48-0.41vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-0.63-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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6.77Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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5.08Jacksonville University2.440.1%1st Place
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3.89College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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5.18University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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10.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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7.6Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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10.0Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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9.58North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.27University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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6.01Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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14.75Rollins College-1.630.0%1st Place
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14.59Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Miao | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Peirson | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 19.3% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Conner Killham | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Probst | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Magno | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Gonzales | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Wolf | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 13.3% | 28.6% | 45.5% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 31.4% | 41.2% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 28.6% | 25.8% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.