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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.08+4.92vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.91+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.38+2.16vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+6.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.44+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.40-0.75vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+0.61vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.82-1.30vs Predicted
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9Duke University1.19-0.37vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.74+0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.82-4.27vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.36-3.78vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.89-3.39vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.48+0.52vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-0.63-1.68vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-1.63-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.85College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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5.16University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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10.53University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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5.03Jacksonville University2.440.1%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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7.61Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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6.7Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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8.63Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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10.11Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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8.22University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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9.61North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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14.52Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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14.82Rollins College-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 20.5% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Peirson | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Probst | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Magno | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 14.5% | 31.9% | 37.7% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 28.1% | 25.9% | 13.5% |
| Eric Wolf | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 11.9% | 28.8% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.