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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.91+3.04vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.08+4.24vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+4.78vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.82+3.24vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+5.57vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.40-0.48vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43-3.88vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82-1.01vs Predicted
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9Duke University1.19-0.12vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.89-0.15vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.36-2.57vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.36-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.38-7.63vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-1.63+0.55vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.48-0.61vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.64-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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6.24Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.78Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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7.24Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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10.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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5.52University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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3.12Jacksonville University3.430.3%1st Place
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6.99University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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8.88Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.85North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.43University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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8.43Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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14.55Rollins College-1.630.0%1st Place
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14.39Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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14.62University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shannon | 18.1% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Peirson | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 22.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 28.5% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Gonzales | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Wolf | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 21.4% | 32.3% | 33.0% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 24.9% | 31.9% | 29.9% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 5.6% | 21.0% | 29.2% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.