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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.91+3.04vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.82+5.01vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.08+3.35vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.40+0.48vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+1.95vs Predicted
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7Duke University1.19+1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.38-2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.82-1.97vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.36-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-0.56vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.89-2.24vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.36-4.50vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-1.63+0.53vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.48-0.61vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.64-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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7.01Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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6.35Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.06Jacksonville University3.430.3%1st Place
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5.48University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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7.95Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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8.98Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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8.54Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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9.76North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.5University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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14.53Rollins College-1.630.0%1st Place
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14.39Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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14.62University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shannon | 17.2% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Peirson | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 27.2% | 20.7% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Jones | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Wolf | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 22.8% | 31.0% | 33.1% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 22.9% | 32.9% | 29.6% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 21.3% | 28.7% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.