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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.44+4.04vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.91+1.92vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+4.74vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.40+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.38+0.35vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08+0.35vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.36+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.36-0.54vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.82-2.90vs Predicted
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11Duke University1.19-2.00vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.89-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-2.23vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.48+0.94vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-0.15-2.19vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-0.63-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Jacksonville University2.440.1%1st Place
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3.92College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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7.74Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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5.35University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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6.35Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.57Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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8.46University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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7.1Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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9.0Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.95North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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10.77University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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14.94Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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12.81Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lounsbury | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 21.2% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Magno | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Peirson | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Alex Jones | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 8.9% | 18.8% | 60.7% |
| Nick Baker | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 21.9% | 24.9% | 11.6% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 32.5% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.