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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.82+5.91vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.40+3.25vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.44+2.17vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.91-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+5.82vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.36+2.59vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.08-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.38-2.75vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.23vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.36-1.42vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.89-1.11vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.82-4.98vs Predicted
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13Duke University1.19-3.91vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-0.63-0.38vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.48-0.04vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-0.15-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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5.17Jacksonville University2.440.1%1st Place
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3.96College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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10.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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8.59University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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6.35Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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7.77Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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8.58Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
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9.89North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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9.09Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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14.96Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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12.79Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Peirson | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 13.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 19.0% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 1.6% |
| Jack Gonzales | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gruskos | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mark Thompson | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 32.0% | 21.4% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 18.4% | 63.7% |
| Nick Baker | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 22.2% | 24.4% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.