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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.58+7.63vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.68+4.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.98vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+4.88vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+6.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.90vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.38+1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42+5.51vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-0.36vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.85-3.23vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.93+1.14vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.34-3.29vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.79-2.27vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.48-6.21vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.15-9.31vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.84-3.48vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.37-7.56vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.51-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Boston College2.586.7%1st Place
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6.9Tulane University2.688.8%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.0%1st Place
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8.88Georgetown University2.204.9%1st Place
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11.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.792.5%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy2.285.8%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston2.387.2%1st Place
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13.51University of Rhode Island1.422.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.066.2%1st Place
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6.77Yale University2.859.6%1st Place
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12.14University of Miami1.932.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College2.345.6%1st Place
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10.73Cornell University1.793.6%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University2.487.4%1st Place
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5.69Stanford University3.1513.2%1st Place
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12.52Roger Williams University1.842.2%1st Place
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9.44Brown University2.374.9%1st Place
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12.65Tufts University1.512.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Henry Lee | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 23.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% |
| Chase Decker | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.7% |
| Blake Behrens | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Clark Morris | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.