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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.91+2.62vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+0.77vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.08+2.70vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.40+1.00vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.82+1.46vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.32+1.03vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.74+1.62vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.36-1.20vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-0.63+1.92vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.89-2.69vs Predicted
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13Duke University1.19-4.67vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.71-4.28vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.48-0.52vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-1.63-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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2.77Jacksonville University3.430.3%1st Place
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5.7Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.0University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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6.46Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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7.3Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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9.62Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.8University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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10.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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9.31North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.33Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Miami0.710.0%1st Place
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14.48Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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14.76Rollins College-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shannon | 20.1% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 31.6% | 22.6% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Peirson | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Burnett | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Probst | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Gonzales | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Jones | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 26.7% | 26.5% | 10.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Remi Hutchins | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 31.3% | 40.6% |
| Eric Wolf | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 11.9% | 26.9% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.