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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.91+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+8.02vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43-0.29vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.82+2.58vs Predicted
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5Duke University1.19+3.38vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.36+0.94vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.74+1.55vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.40-4.16vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-2.77vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.89-1.74vs Predicted
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12University of Florida1.32-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-0.63+0.09vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.48+0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.71-5.15vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-1.63-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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10.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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2.71Jacksonville University3.430.3%1st Place
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6.58Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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8.38Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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5.79Florida State University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.94University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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9.55Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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4.84University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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7.23Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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9.26North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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14.45Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Miami0.710.0%1st Place
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14.72Rollins College-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shannon | 19.4% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 31.5% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Peirson | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Aaron Burnett | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 25.9% | 24.4% | 12.5% |
| Kirsten Failing | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 12.5% | 31.8% | 38.1% |
| Remi Hutchins | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Eric Wolf | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 11.5% | 28.6% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.