Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Geoffrey Nelson 25.8% 20.0% 17.0% 11.3% 9.3% 6.4% 4.7% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Curtiss 15.1% 12.5% 12.7% 11.5% 11.1% 9.1% 9.6% 6.4% 5.1% 3.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Darby Reddaway 3.7% 2.7% 4.3% 3.7% 6.2% 6.3% 6.0% 9.0% 9.9% 11.5% 12.7% 12.2% 7.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Max Thompson 10.9% 13.1% 13.4% 10.5% 11.7% 10.9% 8.8% 7.7% 6.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 8.1% 9.6% 7.4% 11.5% 9.8% 11.3% 10.7% 8.3% 8.5% 7.1% 4.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 9.6% 10.3% 11.4% 10.7% 10.7% 11.1% 9.5% 8.5% 7.1% 5.7% 3.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Smith 9.0% 8.6% 8.1% 10.5% 9.5% 10.7% 9.2% 9.3% 9.5% 6.9% 5.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Boogaart 4.9% 7.0% 7.4% 8.9% 7.7% 9.3% 8.4% 11.5% 9.8% 9.3% 7.6% 4.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Teagan Walsh 1.8% 2.3% 3.2% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 4.8% 6.0% 7.1% 9.9% 13.5% 18.2% 14.3% 7.1% 2.0% 0.5%
Andrew Edwards 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 10.5% 15.4% 23.7% 17.7% 6.9% 0.4%
Elizabeth O'Connor 5.4% 6.4% 6.5% 7.7% 7.8% 6.8% 10.6% 9.7% 10.8% 11.3% 6.5% 6.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Jenn Casey 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 3.2% 3.9% 5.7% 7.8% 7.1% 8.4% 10.1% 14.0% 11.5% 14.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Alex Myers 2.1% 2.6% 2.4% 4.5% 6.0% 4.9% 6.0% 8.2% 8.4% 11.9% 12.6% 13.6% 10.4% 5.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Taylor Wood 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 4.9% 10.9% 27.5% 29.8% 17.2%
Clare Sweeney 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 3.4% 11.7% 24.0% 54.6%
Erica Trotter 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 0.5% 2.5% 3.7% 7.0% 21.1% 34.1% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.