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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of Florida1.29+4.87vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.08+0.81vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.13-0.38vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.27+3.84vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.48-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.32-1.22vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.53+0.05vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.23+0.05vs Predicted
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11Duke University1.25-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.23-4.88vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.33-1.69vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.96+0.26vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-1.12vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.52-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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6.87University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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5.78Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.62College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
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9.84Georgia Institute of Technology0.270.0%1st Place
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6.45Jacksonville University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.78University of South Carolina1.320.1%1st Place
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9.05Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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10.05Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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7.0Duke University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.12University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
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11.31North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.26University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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13.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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15.0Auburn University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 27.1% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Curtiss | 13.4% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leigh Collier | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| David Hein | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenn Casey | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 19.7% | 34.1% | 26.2% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 27.5% | 29.4% | 19.5% |
| Clare Sweeney | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 12.6% | 24.6% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.