← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida State University1.69+4.65vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.48+4.34vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.74+0.24vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.23+6.07vs Predicted
-
5University of Florida1.29+1.96vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-0.33+5.34vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.13-2.30vs Predicted
-
8Duke University1.25-1.05vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina1.32-2.20vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami2.08-5.20vs Predicted
-
11Georgia Institute of Technology0.27-1.19vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.23-4.84vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University0.53-3.89vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-0.20vs Predicted
-
15University of Georgia-1.96-0.74vs Predicted
-
16Auburn University-2.52-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.65Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.34Jacksonville University1.480.1%1st Place
-
3.24Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
-
10.07Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
-
6.96University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
-
11.34North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
4.7College of Charleston2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.95Duke University1.250.1%1st Place
-
6.8University of South Carolina1.320.1%1st Place
-
4.8University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
-
9.81Georgia Institute of Technology0.270.0%1st Place
-
7.16University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
-
9.11Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
-
13.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
-
14.26University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
-
15.01Auburn University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Hayden | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Hein | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 25.4% | 20.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| David Beaudry | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 22.4% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 0.9% |
| William Curtiss | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 12.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leigh Collier | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jenn Casey | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 28.3% | 29.0% | 16.6% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 8.6% | 19.0% | 32.3% | 29.1% |
| Clare Sweeney | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 26.0% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.