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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.48+4.72vs Predicted
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2Duke University1.25+4.45vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.74-0.02vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+4.06vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.29+1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.23-0.46vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.23+1.24vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.53-0.54vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.13-5.79vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-2.52+3.73vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.33-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-1.96+1.06vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-0.71-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-1.34vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.50-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Jacksonville University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.45Duke University1.250.1%1st Place
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2.98Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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8.06Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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6.54University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
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9.24Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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8.46Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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4.21College of Charleston2.130.2%1st Place
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14.73Auburn University-2.520.0%1st Place
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10.8North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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11.65University of South Carolina-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.67Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hein | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 29.0% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| David Beaudry | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jenn Casey | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Curtiss | 15.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Sweeney | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 53.1% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 19.3% | 31.4% | 24.9% |
| Ashley Thess | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 23.0% | 29.3% | 17.7% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.