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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.13+3.12vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+5.89vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.74-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Florida1.29+2.45vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.33+5.82vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.23+0.56vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.48-1.05vs Predicted
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8Duke University1.25-1.67vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.08-4.70vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.23-0.63vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.50-2.43vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.53-3.53vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.71-1.28vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-0.43vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-2.52-0.17vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.96-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12College of Charleston2.130.2%1st Place
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7.89Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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2.92Eckerd College2.740.3%1st Place
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6.45University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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10.82North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.56University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
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5.95Jacksonville University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.33Duke University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Miami2.080.2%1st Place
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9.37Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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8.57Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.47Clemson University0.530.0%1st Place
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11.72University of South Carolina-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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14.83Auburn University-2.520.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Curtiss | 15.7% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 28.1% | 22.8% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hein | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 15.8% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Rafael Melendez | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jenn Casey | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Thess | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 10.7% | 2.2% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 24.7% | 26.1% | 16.8% |
| Clare Sweeney | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 23.0% | 53.1% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 19.5% | 30.9% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.