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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+4.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+6.67vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+9.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.34+4.62vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.68+1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+7.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.80vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.84vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.85-2.35vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.38-1.50vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-2.15vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-0.93vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.96-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-1.89vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.48-7.29vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.86-4.58vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.28-8.32vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.27-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Stanford University3.1512.8%1st Place
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8.67Boston College2.586.1%1st Place
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12.67Roger Williams University1.842.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College2.345.2%1st Place
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6.65Tulane University2.689.8%1st Place
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13.2University of Rhode Island1.422.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.6%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University2.206.7%1st Place
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6.65Yale University2.859.3%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston2.386.7%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College2.065.3%1st Place
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11.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.9%1st Place
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10.44Cornell University1.964.2%1st Place
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12.11University of Miami1.931.8%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University2.486.0%1st Place
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11.42Brown University1.863.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy2.286.3%1st Place
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12.55Tufts University1.272.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.7% |
| Chase Decker | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 22.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.