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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+3.92vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+2.33vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.26+5.54vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.74+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.41+5.06vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.42+4.11vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.59+0.41vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.01+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53-4.05vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia1.92-6.08vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.07-5.05vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.52-4.08vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.95-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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4.33Western Washington University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.54Western Washington University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Victoria0.740.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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9.16Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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3.92University of British Columbia1.920.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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7.92Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 14.9% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Kendall Kracke | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Colin Bishop | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 28.4% |
| Steven Dieleman | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 29.4% |
| Dylan Shaver | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Nikoline Alden | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 21.2% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
| Connor Hughes | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.